Levski Sofia 2-0 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 23 Nov 2024

📅23/11/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.27
Draw
24%
4.95
Away
18%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.0
Over 2.5
54%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.4
No
54%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
18%
X/2
6%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
7%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
74%
-16.3pp
24%
Draw
17%
+6.7pp
18%
Away Win
8%
+9.6pp
46%
Under 2.5
46%
-0.6pp
54%
Over 2.5
54%
+0.6pp
46%
BTTS Yes
38%
+8.6pp
54%
BTTS No
62%
-8.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Levski Sofia EU Bookmakers 79%
Head to Head
AWAY Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 EU Bookmakers 11%
-4% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -10%
1.79/0.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.42/2.38
-13% / +43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -36% / -22%
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
478 · 87% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 248 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Levski Sofia
3W-1D-0L
AWAY Lokomotiv Sofia 1929
3.75 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
62% Ball Possession 38%
12 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
20.07.2024 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 1-6 HT 1-4 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia BUL1
27.11.2023 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 2-2 HT 0-1 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia BUL1
30.07.2023 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia 6-0 HT 2-0 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 BUL1
08.04.2023 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia 1-0 HT 1-0 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 BUL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Levski Sofia
2-0
AWAY Lokomotiv Sofia 1929
66% Ball Possession 34%
15 Total Shots 3
6 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Levski Sofia vs Lokomotiv Sofia 1929
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Levski Sofia got the better of Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Levski Sofia as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Levski Sofia had 66% of the ball to Lokomotiv Sofia 1929's 34%, shots finished 15-3.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Levski Sofia had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.75 goals for Levski Sofia and 0.75 for Lokomotiv Sofia 1929.

What was the final score of Levski Sofia vs Lokomotiv Sofia 1929?

Levski Sofia 2-0 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 23/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Levski Sofia vs Lokomotiv Sofia 1929?

Before kick-off our model rated a Levski Sofia win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Levski Sofia 58%, draw 24%, Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 18%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Levski Sofia), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Levski Sofia) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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