Arda Kardzhali vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Arda Kardzhali v Lokomotiv Plovdiv — Team-Based Signals
Arda Kardzhali vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
Arda Kardzhali
BUL1
Arda Kardzhali 4-2 Lokomotiv Plovdiv — Actual Match Statistics
Arda Kardzhali got the better of Lokomotiv Plovdiv 4-2. Half-time: 3-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we said in the preview, our model had Arda Kardzhali as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (71%), no to both teams scoring (70%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Arda Kardzhali had 45% of the ball to Lokomotiv Plovdiv's 55%, shots finished 11-11.
Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Lokomotiv Plovdiv led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Arda Kardzhali and 1.33 for Lokomotiv Plovdiv.
What was the final score of Arda Kardzhali vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv?
Arda Kardzhali 4-2 Lokomotiv Plovdiv in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 23/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Arda Kardzhali vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv?
Before kick-off our model rated a Arda Kardzhali win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Arda Kardzhali 49%, draw 27%, Lokomotiv Plovdiv 24%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Arda Kardzhali) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.