Viborg 2-1 FC Nordsjaelland — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - Süperlig, 1 Mar 2026

📅01/03/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.05
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
37%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.23
Over 2.5
56%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.5
No
38%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.44
2-3 Goals
41%
1.86
4-5 Goals
24%
2.77
6+ Goals
13%
7.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
2.89
1/2
8%
27.5
1/X
9%
12.55
X/1
14%
5.21
X/2
12%
6.78
X/X
9%
5.58
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
21.8
2/2
17%
4.34
2/X
6%
13.0
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.8 — our 9% vs market 2.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
45%
-5.9pp
24%
Draw
25%
-0.7pp
37%
Away Win
31%
+6.7pp
44%
Under 2.5
41%
+3.3pp
56%
Over 2.5
59%
-3.3pp
62%
BTTS Yes
62%
-0.6pp
38%
BTTS No
38%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Viborg EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Nordsjaelland EU Bookmakers 34%
-8% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -20%
1.46/1.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.67
+11% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -27%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
363 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 373 · 80%
23.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.3
20.0 Crosses 13.7
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Viborg
1W-0D-5L
AWAY FC Nordsjaelland
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
0.82 xG 1.95
38% Ball Possession 62%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 4
349 Passes 610
84% Pass Accuracy 90%
16 Box Touches 31
13 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
25.08.2025 FC Nordsjaelland FC Nordsjaelland 1-0 HT 1-0 Viborg Viborg DAN
03.11.2024 FC Nordsjaelland FC Nordsjaelland 2-1 HT 2-0 Viborg Viborg DAN
20.09.2024 Viborg Viborg 3-2 HT 3-1 FC Nordsjaelland FC Nordsjaelland DAN
01.11.2023 Viborg Viborg 2-3 HT 1-1 FC Nordsjaelland FC Nordsjaelland DAK
22.10.2023 Viborg Viborg 0-2 HT 0-0 FC Nordsjaelland FC Nordsjaelland DAN
24.07.2023 FC Nordsjaelland FC Nordsjaelland 4-1 HT 2-1 Viborg Viborg DAN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Viborg
2-1
AWAY FC Nordsjaelland
1.82 xG 1.57
48% Ball Possession 52%
22 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 2
351 Passes 393
80% Pass Accuracy 82%
50 Box Touches 21
12 Crosses 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Viborg vs FC Nordsjaelland
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Viborg nicked a narrow win over FC Nordsjaelland 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 24% / 37% — and on the day Viborg made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (62%) came in.

On the day, Viborg had 48% of the ball to FC Nordsjaelland's 52%, shots finished 22-15, expected goals 1.82 to 1.57.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Nordsjaelland led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Viborg and 2.33 for FC Nordsjaelland.

What was the final score of Viborg vs FC Nordsjaelland?

Viborg 2-1 FC Nordsjaelland in the Denmark - Süperlig on 01/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Viborg vs FC Nordsjaelland?

Before kick-off our model rated a Viborg win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Viborg 39%, draw 24%, FC Nordsjaelland 37%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Viborg), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Viborg) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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