Vejle 1-2 AGF Aarhus — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - Süperlig, 1 Mar 2026

📅01/03/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
4.71
Draw
22%
4.08
Away
58%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.07
Over 2.5
57%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.76
No
44%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.79
2-3 Goals
40%
1.8
4-5 Goals
25%
3.03
6+ Goals
11%
9.88
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
8.89
1/2 EV+ ✗
11%
21.2
1/X
7%
17.45
X/1
7%
11.05
X/2
20%
4.01
X/X
10%
5.94
2/1
5%
34.0
2/2
27%
1.91
2/X
5%
15.5
Value flag · 1/2 at 21.2 — our 11% vs market 2.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
18%
+2.3pp
22%
Draw
21%
+1.2pp
58%
Away Win
61%
-3.5pp
43%
Under 2.5
44%
-1.6pp
57%
Over 2.5
56%
+1.6pp
56%
BTTS Yes
53%
+2.8pp
44%
BTTS No
47%
-2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vejle EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY AGF Aarhus EU Bookmakers 66%
-12% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
1.21/1.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.37/1.25
-27% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -18%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
275 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 373 · 78%
21.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 31.3
17.5 Crosses 25.5
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vejle
1W-1D-4L
AWAY AGF Aarhus
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.89 xG 2.04
36% Ball Possession 64%
9 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 7
190 Passes 452
68% Pass Accuracy 82%
16 Box Touches 29
15 Crosses 27
2 Yellow Cards 2
24.08.2025 AGF Aarhus AGF Aarhus 1-0 HT 1-0 Vejle Vejle DAN
25.06.2025 AGF Aarhus AGF Aarhus 1-0 HT 0-0 Vejle Vejle HAZ
16.03.2025 Vejle Vejle 3-2 HT 2-1 AGF Aarhus AGF Aarhus DAN
19.08.2024 AGF Aarhus AGF Aarhus 5-1 HT 3-1 Vejle Vejle DAN
19.02.2024 Vejle Vejle 0-0 HT 0-0 AGF Aarhus AGF Aarhus DAN
23.07.2023 AGF Aarhus AGF Aarhus 1-0 HT 1-0 Vejle Vejle DAN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vejle
1-2
AWAY AGF Aarhus
1.03 xG 0.90
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 4
183 Passes 294
60% Pass Accuracy 72%
13 Box Touches 16
14 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Vejle vs AGF Aarhus
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AGF Aarhus squeezed past Vejle 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had AGF Aarhus as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Vejle had 42% of the ball to AGF Aarhus's 58%, shots finished 11-8, expected goals 1.03 to 0.90.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, AGF Aarhus led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Vejle and 1.67 for AGF Aarhus.

What was the final score of Vejle vs AGF Aarhus?

Vejle 1-2 AGF Aarhus in the Denmark - Süperlig on 01/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vejle vs AGF Aarhus?

Before kick-off our model rated an AGF Aarhus win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Vejle 20%, draw 22%, AGF Aarhus 58%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AGF Aarhus), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (AGF Aarhus) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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