FC Nordsjaelland 2-1 Viborg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - Süperlig, 3 Nov 2024

📅03/11/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.64
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
24%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.38
Over 2.5
54%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.56
No
45%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
5.16
2-3 Goals
40%
1.96
4-5 Goals
23%
2.73
6+ Goals
13%
6.96
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
2.03
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
5%
13.2
X/1
17%
4.34
X/2
9%
10.8
X/X
13%
5.85
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
20.95
2/2
9%
7.31
2/X
7%
13.85
Value flag · 2/1 at 20.95 — our 8% vs market 2.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
57%
-6.0pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.8pp
24%
Away Win
20%
+4.1pp
46%
Under 2.5
38%
+8.2pp
54%
Over 2.5
62%
-8.2pp
55%
BTTS Yes
60%
-5.2pp
45%
BTTS No
40%
+5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Nordsjaelland EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Viborg EU Bookmakers 23%
+9% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -15%
2.00/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.50
+39% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / -10%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
492 · 87% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 327 · 80%
30.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.7
17.1 Crosses 17.1
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Nordsjaelland
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Viborg
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.89 xG 0.98
61% Ball Possession 39%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
563 Passes 329
89% Pass Accuracy 82%
30 Box Touches 17
16 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
20.09.2024 Viborg Viborg 3-2 HT 3-1 FC Nordsjaelland FC Nordsjaelland DAN
01.11.2023 Viborg Viborg 2-3 HT 1-1 FC Nordsjaelland FC Nordsjaelland DAK
22.10.2023 Viborg Viborg 0-2 HT 0-0 FC Nordsjaelland FC Nordsjaelland DAN
24.07.2023 FC Nordsjaelland FC Nordsjaelland 4-1 HT 2-1 Viborg Viborg DAN
04.06.2023 FC Nordsjaelland FC Nordsjaelland 0-0 HT 0-0 Viborg Viborg DAN
23.04.2023 Viborg Viborg 1-0 HT 0-0 FC Nordsjaelland FC Nordsjaelland DAN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Nordsjaelland
2-1
AWAY Viborg
2.37 xG 0.47
65% Ball Possession 35%
22 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
690 Passes 345
91% Pass Accuracy 85%
30 Box Touches 18
16 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH FC Nordsjaelland vs Viborg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Nordsjaelland nicked a narrow win over Viborg 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had FC Nordsjaelland as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, FC Nordsjaelland had 65% of the ball to Viborg's 35%, shots finished 22-8, expected goals 2.37 to 0.47 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold FC Nordsjaelland's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Nordsjaelland had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for FC Nordsjaelland and 1.17 for Viborg.

What was the final score of FC Nordsjaelland vs Viborg?

FC Nordsjaelland 2-1 Viborg in the Denmark - Süperlig on 03/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Nordsjaelland vs Viborg?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Nordsjaelland win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split FC Nordsjaelland 51%, draw 25%, Viborg 24%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Nordsjaelland), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (FC Nordsjaelland) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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