Midtjylland 1-5 Brondby — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - Süperlig, 3 Nov 2024

📅03/11/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.18
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
33%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.18
Over 2.5
56%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.53
No
42%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.42
2-3 Goals
39%
1.89
4-5 Goals
25%
2.93
6+ Goals
13%
8.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.07
1/2
7%
28.0
1/X
5%
12.7
X/1
10%
5.21
X/2
11%
6.39
X/X
15%
5.34
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
23.6
2/2
15%
4.07
2/X
7%
12.85
Value flag · 2/1 at 23.6 — our 10% vs market 2.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
42%
-2.0pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.0pp
33%
Away Win
33%
+0.0pp
44%
Under 2.5
42%
+2.0pp
56%
Over 2.5
58%
-2.0pp
58%
BTTS Yes
61%
-3.0pp
42%
BTTS No
39%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Midtjylland EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Brondby EU Bookmakers 37%
+4% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +3%
1.34/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/1.56
+15% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -6%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
346 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 348 · 79%
26.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.9
19.6 Crosses 16.4
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Midtjylland
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Brondby
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.47 xG 1.39
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
346 Passes 344
80% Pass Accuracy 79%
30 Box Touches 23
23 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 2
31.10.2024 Brondby Brondby 1-0 HT 1-0 Midtjylland Midtjylland DAK
06.10.2024 Brondby Brondby 2-0 HT 1-0 Midtjylland Midtjylland DAN
05.05.2024 Midtjylland Midtjylland 3-2 HT 2-2 Brondby Brondby DAN
21.04.2024 Brondby Brondby 2-1 HT 2-0 Midtjylland Midtjylland DAN
18.02.2024 Brondby Brondby 1-0 HT 1-0 Midtjylland Midtjylland DAN
20.08.2023 Midtjylland Midtjylland 0-1 HT 0-0 Brondby Brondby DAN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Midtjylland
1-5
AWAY Brondby
1.57 xG 2.27
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 11
5 Corners 2
394 Passes 389
82% Pass Accuracy 81%
32 Box Touches 22
26 Crosses 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Midtjylland vs Brondby
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Brondby ran out comfortable winners over Midtjylland 5-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (40% / 27% / 33%) promised a tight game; Brondby found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Midtjylland had 51% of the ball to Brondby's 49%, shots finished 14-16, expected goals 1.57 to 2.27.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Brondby led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Midtjylland and 1.50 for Brondby.

What was the final score of Midtjylland vs Brondby?

Midtjylland 1-5 Brondby in the Denmark - Süperlig on 03/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Midtjylland vs Brondby?

Before kick-off our model rated a Midtjylland win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Midtjylland 40%, draw 27%, Brondby 33%. The final score 1-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Midtjylland) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Midtjylland) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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