Brondby 1-0 Midtjylland — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - DBU Cup, 31 Oct 2024

📅31/10/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.89
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
35%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.23
Over 2.5
58%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.55
No
46%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.6
2-3 Goals
37%
1.9
4-5 Goals
29%
2.87
6+ Goals
11%
8.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.49
1/2 EV+ ✗
8%
33.5
1/X
7%
13.7
X/1
12%
4.52
X/2
13%
7.69
X/X
11%
5.81
2/1
7%
21.2
2/2
14%
5.15
2/X
7%
14.0
Value flag · 1/2 at 33.5 — our 8% vs market 1.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
49%
-8.7pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.1pp
35%
Away Win
27%
+8.6pp
42%
Under 2.5
41%
+1.1pp
58%
Over 2.5
59%
-1.1pp
54%
BTTS Yes
60%
-6.4pp
46%
BTTS No
40%
+6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Brondby EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Midtjylland EU Bookmakers 30%
+28% / +28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
1.02/1.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.54
-7% / +30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -38% / +105%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
409 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 73%
35.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.1
29.0 Crosses 17.6
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Brondby
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Midtjylland
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.59 xG 1.62
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
347 Passes 352
78% Pass Accuracy 80%
22 Box Touches 33
15 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
06.10.2024 Brondby Brondby 2-0 HT 1-0 Midtjylland Midtjylland DAN
05.05.2024 Midtjylland Midtjylland 3-2 HT 2-2 Brondby Brondby DAN
21.04.2024 Brondby Brondby 2-1 HT 2-0 Midtjylland Midtjylland DAN
18.02.2024 Brondby Brondby 1-0 HT 1-0 Midtjylland Midtjylland DAN
20.08.2023 Midtjylland Midtjylland 0-1 HT 0-0 Brondby Brondby DAN
27.02.2023 Midtjylland Midtjylland 0-1 HT 0-0 Brondby Brondby DAN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Brondby
1-0
AWAY Midtjylland
0.64 xG 0.53
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 7
353 Passes 364
83% Pass Accuracy 84%
24 Box Touches 18
8 Crosses 28
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Brondby vs Midtjylland
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Brondby edged past Midtjylland 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Brondby as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Brondby had 49% of the ball to Midtjylland's 51%, shots finished 12-12, expected goals 0.64 to 0.53.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Brondby had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Brondby and 0.67 for Midtjylland.

What was the final score of Brondby vs Midtjylland?

Brondby 1-0 Midtjylland in the Denmark - DBU Cup on 31/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Brondby vs Midtjylland?

Before kick-off our model rated a Brondby win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Brondby 41%, draw 24%, Midtjylland 35%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Brondby) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Brondby) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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