Aalborg 3-3 Vejle — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - Süperlig, 3 Nov 2024

📅03/11/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.92
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
30%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.18
Over 2.5
52%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.56
No
48%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
4.31
2-3 Goals
41%
1.87
4-5 Goals
22%
2.98
6+ Goals
10%
9.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.62
1/2
6%
33.0
1/X
5%
13.05
X/1
15%
4.68
X/2
11%
7.46
X/X
12%
5.37
2/1
6%
22.3
2/2
13%
5.02
2/X EV+ ✓
11%
13.35
Value flag · 2/X at 13.35 — our 11% vs market 4.6%. Landed.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
48%
-5.7pp
28%
Draw
25%
+2.9pp
30%
Away Win
27%
+2.8pp
48%
Under 2.5
42%
+6.4pp
52%
Over 2.5
58%
-6.4pp
52%
BTTS Yes
60%
-7.8pp
48%
BTTS No
40%
+7.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aalborg EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Vejle EU Bookmakers 31%
+1% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +3%
1.64/1.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.19
+8% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / +40%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
375 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 353 · 79%
21.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.0
19.2 Crosses 19.6
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aalborg
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Vejle
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.48 xG 0.72
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
330 Passes 287
74% Pass Accuracy 72%
25 Box Touches 16
22 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 2
04.10.2024 Vejle Vejle 2-2 HT 1-0 Aalborg Aalborg DAN
06.03.2022 Aalborg Aalborg 0-0 HT 0-0 Vejle Vejle DAN
16.08.2021 Vejle Vejle 0-1 HT 0-1 Aalborg Aalborg DAN
19.05.2021 Aalborg Aalborg 2-1 HT 0-1 Vejle Vejle DAN
16.04.2021 Vejle Vejle 1-1 HT 0-1 Aalborg Aalborg DAN
14.03.2021 Vejle Vejle 0-2 HT 0-1 Aalborg Aalborg DAN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aalborg
3-3
AWAY Vejle
2.59 xG 0.60
63% Ball Possession 37%
15 Total Shots 14
8 Shots on Target 8
7 Corners 5
405 Passes 220
84% Pass Accuracy 76%
43 Box Touches 18
30 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Aalborg vs Vejle
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aalborg and Vejle couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. Half-time: 0-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Aalborg at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Aalborg had 63% of the ball to Vejle's 37%, shots finished 15-14, expected goals 2.59 to 0.60.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aalborg had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Aalborg and 0.67 for Vejle.

What was the final score of Aalborg vs Vejle?

Aalborg 3-3 Vejle in the Denmark - Süperlig on 03/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aalborg vs Vejle?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aalborg win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Aalborg 42%, draw 28%, Vejle 30%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Aalborg) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Aalborg) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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