Gresford Athletic 1-0 Holyhead Hotspur FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 1 Mar 2026

📅01/03/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.33
Draw
22%
3.54
Away
35%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
Over 2.5
56%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.46
No
45%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
7%
1/X
3%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
19%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
39%
+4.1pp
22%
Draw
25%
-3.2pp
35%
Away Win
36%
-0.9pp
55%
BTTS Yes
64%
-9.2pp
45%
BTTS No
36%
+9.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gresford Athletic EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Holyhead Hotspur FC EU Bookmakers 39%
-2% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
1.51/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/0.89
-14% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -42% / +89%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
354 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 252 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gresford Athletic
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Holyhead Hotspur FC
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
15.11.2025 Holyhead Hotspur FC Holyhead Hotspur FC 3-0 HT 1-0 Gresford Athletic Gresford Athletic GALFAW
11.02.2023 Holyhead Hotspur FC Holyhead Hotspur FC 0-2 HT 0-1 Gresford Athletic Gresford Athletic GALFAW
04.02.2023 Gresford Athletic Gresford Athletic 1-3 HT 0-3 Holyhead Hotspur FC Holyhead Hotspur FC GALFAW
29.01.2022 Gresford Athletic Gresford Athletic 0-0 HT 0-0 Holyhead Hotspur FC Holyhead Hotspur FC GALFAW
POST-MATCH Gresford Athletic vs Holyhead Hotspur FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gresford Athletic squeezed past Holyhead Hotspur FC 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Gresford Athletic as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Holyhead Hotspur FC led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Gresford Athletic and 1.50 for Holyhead Hotspur FC.

What was the final score of Gresford Athletic vs Holyhead Hotspur FC?

Gresford Athletic 1-0 Holyhead Hotspur FC in the Wales - FAW Championship on 01/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gresford Athletic vs Holyhead Hotspur FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gresford Athletic win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Gresford Athletic 43%, draw 22%, Holyhead Hotspur FC 35%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gresford Athletic) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Gresford Athletic) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
GALFAW More Wales - FAW Championship
1 Mar 2026
17:00 Y Rhyl 1879 vs Ruthin Town Analysis →
17:00 Newport City vs Carmarthen Town Analysis →
17:00 Afan Lido vs Ammanford Analysis →
17:30 Aberystwyth Town vs Caerau (Ely) Analysis →
18:00 Cambrian & Clydach vs Trethomas Bluebirds Analysis →