Newport City vs Carmarthen Town Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Newport City v Carmarthen Town — Team-Based Signals
Newport City vs Carmarthen Town Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
Newport City and Carmarthen Town shared the points in a 4-4 draw. Half-time: 1-3. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 32% / 31% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Carmarthen Town led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Newport City and 0.67 for Carmarthen Town.
What was the final score of Newport City vs Carmarthen Town?
Newport City 4-4 Carmarthen Town in the Wales - FAW Championship on 01/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Newport City vs Carmarthen Town?
Before kick-off our model rated a Newport City win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Newport City 37%, draw 32%, Carmarthen Town 31%. The final score 4-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Newport City), Under 2.5 went the other way.