Newport City 3-0 Carmarthen Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 22 Mar 2025

Newport City
3-0 HT 1-0
Carmarthen Town
📅22/03/2025 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Wales - FAW Championship – 2024/2025

Newport City vs Carmarthen Town Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.89
Draw
20%
3.64
Away
37%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
31%
2.15
Over 2.5
69%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
65%
1.6
No
35%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
9%
1/X
4%
X/1
12%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
10%
2/2
19%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
49%
-5.5pp
20%
Draw
24%
-4.6pp
37%
Away Win
27%
+10.1pp
31%
Under 2.5
43%
-11.6pp
69%
Over 2.5
57%
+11.6pp
65%
BTTS Yes
58%
+6.9pp
35%
BTTS No
42%
-6.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Newport City v Carmarthen Town — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Newport City EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Carmarthen Town EU Bookmakers 30%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
0.50/0.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.61
-75% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +21%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
269 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Newport City vs Carmarthen Town Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Newport City
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Carmarthen Town
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
The Meetings
14.09.2024 Carmarthen Town Carmarthen Town 1-0 HT 0-0 Newport City Newport City GALFAW
POST-MATCH Newport City vs Carmarthen Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Newport City ran out comfortable winners over Carmarthen Town 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Newport City as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (69%) landed while both teams to score (65%) missed.

What was the final score of Newport City vs Carmarthen Town?

Newport City 3-0 Carmarthen Town in the Wales - FAW Championship on 22/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Newport City vs Carmarthen Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Newport City win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Newport City 44%, draw 20%, Carmarthen Town 37%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Newport City), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Newport City) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
GALFAW More Wales - FAW Championship
22 Mar 2025
15:00 Denbigh Town vs Bangor 1876 Analysis →
17:00 Penrhyncoch vs Mold Alexandra Analysis →
17:00 Guilsfield vs Buckley Town Analysis →
17:00 Caersws vs Llay Miners Welfare Analysis →
17:00 Cwmbran Celtic vs Afan Lido Analysis →
17:00 Baglan Dragons vs Taffs Well Analysis →