Baglan Dragons 1-1 Taffs Well — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 22 Mar 2025

📅22/03/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.37
Draw
21%
4.62
Away
24%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
2.21
Over 2.5
63%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.81
No
42%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
18%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
23%
X/2
4%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
68%
-12.8pp
21%
Draw
18%
+2.5pp
24%
Away Win
14%
+10.3pp
37%
Under 2.5
41%
-4.0pp
63%
Over 2.5
59%
+4.1pp
58%
BTTS Yes
51%
+6.7pp
42%
BTTS No
49%
-6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Baglan Dragons EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Taffs Well EU Bookmakers 17%
-17% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -6%
2.57/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/2.47
-6% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -31% / -9%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
400 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Baglan Dragons
3W-0D-0L
AWAY Taffs Well
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
19.10.2024 Taffs Well Taffs Well 1-3 HT 1-1 Baglan Dragons Baglan Dragons GALFAW
10.02.2024 Baglan Dragons Baglan Dragons 1-0 Taffs Well Taffs Well GALFAW
22.09.2023 Taffs Well Taffs Well 1-4 HT 0-4 Baglan Dragons Baglan Dragons GALFAW
POST-MATCH Baglan Dragons vs Taffs Well
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Baglan Dragons and Taffs Well couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

This one beat our numbers. Baglan Dragons carried 55% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. On goals, both teams to score (58%) landed while over 2.5 goals (63%) missed.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Baglan Dragons had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Baglan Dragons and 0.67 for Taffs Well.

What was the final score of Baglan Dragons vs Taffs Well?

Baglan Dragons 1-1 Taffs Well in the Wales - FAW Championship on 22/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Baglan Dragons vs Taffs Well?

Before kick-off our model rated a Baglan Dragons win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Baglan Dragons 55%, draw 21%, Taffs Well 24%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Baglan Dragons), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Baglan Dragons) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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