Denbigh Town 2-1 Bangor 1876 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 22 Mar 2025

📅22/03/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.0
Draw
27%
3.94
Away
26%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
35%
Over 2.5
65%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
67%
1.35
No
33%
2.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
32%
4-5 Goals
33%
6+ Goals
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
11%
2/2
8%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
46%
+1.1pp
27%
Draw
22%
+5.2pp
26%
Away Win
32%
-6.3pp
67%
BTTS Yes
70%
-3.5pp
33%
BTTS No
30%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Denbigh Town EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Bangor 1876 EU Bookmakers 36%
+27% / +27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
2.86/1.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.80/1.99
+56% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / -11%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
313 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 339 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Denbigh Town
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Bangor 1876
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
11.10.2024 Bangor 1876 Bangor 1876 3-4 HT 1-2 Denbigh Town Denbigh Town GALFAW
23.04.2024 Denbigh Town Denbigh Town 2-2 HT 2-0 Bangor 1876 Bangor 1876 GALFAW
POST-MATCH Denbigh Town vs Bangor 1876
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Denbigh Town squeezed past Bangor 1876 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Denbigh Town as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (65%), both teams to score (67%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Denbigh Town had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Denbigh Town and 2.50 for Bangor 1876.

What was the final score of Denbigh Town vs Bangor 1876?

Denbigh Town 2-1 Bangor 1876 in the Wales - FAW Championship on 22/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Denbigh Town vs Bangor 1876?

Before kick-off our model rated a Denbigh Town win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Denbigh Town 47%, draw 27%, Bangor 1876 26%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Denbigh Town), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Denbigh Town) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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