Cwmbran Celtic 1-1 Afan Lido — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 22 Mar 2025

📅22/03/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
2.46
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
29%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
Over 2.5
54%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.43
No
44%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
16%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
12%
2/2
15%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
37%
+11.2pp
23%
Draw
25%
-1.8pp
29%
Away Win
38%
-9.4pp
56%
BTTS Yes
66%
-9.9pp
44%
BTTS No
34%
+9.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cwmbran Celtic EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Afan Lido EU Bookmakers 42%
+3% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -7%
1.86/1.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.86/1.43
+14% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +19%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
322 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 341 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cwmbran Celtic
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Afan Lido
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.83
08.11.2024 Afan Lido Afan Lido 4-1 HT 1-0 Cwmbran Celtic Cwmbran Celtic GALFAW
17.02.2024 Cwmbran Celtic Cwmbran Celtic 2-0 Afan Lido Afan Lido GALFAW
27.10.2023 Afan Lido Afan Lido 2-1 HT 0-1 Cwmbran Celtic Cwmbran Celtic GALFAW
17.02.2023 Afan Lido Afan Lido 2-1 HT 0-0 Cwmbran Celtic Cwmbran Celtic GALFAW
19.11.2022 Cwmbran Celtic Cwmbran Celtic 1-4 HT 0-2 Afan Lido Afan Lido GALFAW
05.08.2022 Afan Lido Afan Lido 5-2 HT 3-1 Cwmbran Celtic Cwmbran Celtic GALLK
POST-MATCH Cwmbran Celtic vs Afan Lido
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cwmbran Celtic and Afan Lido shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Cwmbran Celtic at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (56%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Afan Lido led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Cwmbran Celtic and 2.83 for Afan Lido.

What was the final score of Cwmbran Celtic vs Afan Lido?

Cwmbran Celtic 1-1 Afan Lido in the Wales - FAW Championship on 22/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cwmbran Celtic vs Afan Lido?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cwmbran Celtic win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Cwmbran Celtic 48%, draw 23%, Afan Lido 29%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Cwmbran Celtic), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cwmbran Celtic) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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