Caersws 3-2 Llay Miners Welfare — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 22 Mar 2025

📅22/03/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.32
Draw
18%
5.15
Away
20%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
Over 2.5
63%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.73
No
46%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
34%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
40%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
5%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
10%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
71%
-9.2pp
18%
Draw
16%
+1.3pp
20%
Away Win
12%
+8.0pp
54%
BTTS Yes
54%
-0.1pp
46%
BTTS No
46%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Caersws EU Bookmakers 76%
Head to Head
AWAY Llay Miners Welfare EU Bookmakers 15%
-15% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -13%
3.98/0.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.72/2.84
+46% / +58% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -34% / -5%
61% Ball Possession 39%
17 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 2
431 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 248 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Caersws
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Llay Miners Welfare
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
14.09.2024 Llay Miners Welfare Llay Miners Welfare 1-0 HT 0-0 Caersws Caersws GALFAW
POST-MATCH Caersws vs Llay Miners Welfare
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Caersws squeezed past Llay Miners Welfare 3-2. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Caersws as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (63%), and that read landed as well.

What was the final score of Caersws vs Llay Miners Welfare?

Caersws 3-2 Llay Miners Welfare in the Wales - FAW Championship on 22/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Caersws vs Llay Miners Welfare?

Before kick-off our model rated a Caersws win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Caersws 62%, draw 18%, Llay Miners Welfare 20%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Caersws), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Caersws) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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