Afan Lido 3-1 Ammanford — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 1 Mar 2026

📅01/03/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
4.13
Draw
22%
3.72
Away
58%
1.68
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.95
Over 2.5
42%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.81
No
57%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
8%
X/2
19%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
31%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
21%
-0.6pp
22%
Draw
24%
-2.1pp
58%
Away Win
55%
+2.7pp
58%
Under 2.5
48%
+10.9pp
42%
Over 2.5
52%
-10.9pp
43%
BTTS Yes
51%
-8.0pp
57%
BTTS No
49%
+8.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Afan Lido EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Ammanford EU Bookmakers 60%
+11% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
1.32/1.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/0.96
+3% / +36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -54% / +26%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
298 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 368 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Afan Lido
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Ammanford
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 3.33
3 Corners 5
07.11.2025 Ammanford Ammanford 6-0 HT 2-0 Afan Lido Afan Lido GALFAW
07.03.2025 Afan Lido Afan Lido 2-1 Ammanford Ammanford GALFAW
04.01.2025 Ammanford Ammanford 5-1 HT 0-1 Afan Lido Afan Lido GALFAW
15.03.2024 Ammanford Ammanford 2-4 HT 1-1 Afan Lido Afan Lido GALFAW
18.08.2023 Afan Lido Afan Lido 4-2 HT 1-1 Ammanford Ammanford GALFAW
31.03.2023 Ammanford Ammanford 4-2 HT 2-0 Afan Lido Afan Lido GALFAW
POST-MATCH Afan Lido vs Ammanford
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Afan Lido saw off Ammanford 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Ammanford at 58% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Afan Lido and 3.33 for Ammanford.

What was the final score of Afan Lido vs Ammanford?

Afan Lido 3-1 Ammanford in the Wales - FAW Championship on 01/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Afan Lido vs Ammanford?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ammanford win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Afan Lido 20%, draw 22%, Ammanford 58%. The final score 3-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Ammanford) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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