Excelsior 0-1 Go Ahead Eagles — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eredivisie, 1 Mar 2026

Excelsior
0-1 HT 0-0
Go Ahead Eagles
📅01/03/2026 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Netherlands - Eredivisie – 2025/2026

Excelsior vs Go Ahead Eagles Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.27
Draw
31%
3.35
Away
32%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.07
Over 2.5
55%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.56
No
39%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.81
2-3 Goals
37%
1.8
4-5 Goals
29%
3.02
6+ Goals
11%
9.79
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.33
1/2
6%
27.5
1/X
8%
12.15
X/1
11%
5.56
X/2
13%
6.26
X/X
14%
4.94
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
24.8
2/2
13%
4.0
2/X
9%
12.35
Value flag · 2/1 at 24.8 — our 8% vs market 1.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
40%
-3.0pp
31%
Draw
26%
+4.5pp
32%
Away Win
34%
-1.6pp
45%
Under 2.5
44%
+0.7pp
55%
Over 2.5
56%
-0.7pp
61%
BTTS Yes
60%
+1.4pp
39%
BTTS No
40%
-1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Excelsior v Go Ahead Eagles — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Excelsior EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Go Ahead Eagles EU Bookmakers 37%
-4% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -13%
1.45/1.46 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.54/1.51
-20% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / -14%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
328 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 77%
22.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.7
18.1 Crosses 19.0
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.6

Excelsior vs Go Ahead Eagles Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Excelsior
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Go Ahead Eagles
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.98 xG 1.35
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
308 Passes 377
75% Pass Accuracy 79%
18 Box Touches 26
19 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
26.10.2025 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles 2-0 HT 0-0 Excelsior Excelsior HOL
30.03.2024 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles 3-0 HT 1-0 Excelsior Excelsior HOL
16.12.2023 Excelsior Excelsior 1-1 HT 0-0 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles HOL
14.04.2023 Excelsior Excelsior 2-1 HT 0-0 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles HOL
29.10.2022 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles 3-1 HT 2-0 Excelsior Excelsior HOL
12.05.2021 Excelsior Excelsior 0-1 HT 0-0 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles HOL2

Excelsior 0-1 Go Ahead Eagles — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Excelsior
0-1
AWAY Go Ahead Eagles
58% Ball Possession 42%
19 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 3
429 Passes 278
82% Pass Accuracy 74%
POST-MATCH Excelsior vs Go Ahead Eagles
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Go Ahead Eagles squeezed past Excelsior 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (37% / 31% / 32%) promised a tight game; Go Ahead Eagles found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Excelsior had 58% of the ball to Go Ahead Eagles's 42%, shots finished 19-7.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Go Ahead Eagles led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Excelsior and 1.83 for Go Ahead Eagles.

What was the final score of Excelsior vs Go Ahead Eagles?

Excelsior 0-1 Go Ahead Eagles in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 01/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Excelsior vs Go Ahead Eagles?

Before kick-off our model rated a Excelsior win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Excelsior 37%, draw 31%, Go Ahead Eagles 32%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Excelsior) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
HOL More Netherlands - Eredivisie
1 Mar 2026
14:15 PEC Zwolle vs Ajax Analysis →
16:30 Twente vs Feyenoord Analysis →
16:30 Volendam vs Groningen Analysis →
18:45 Utrecht vs AZ Alkmaar Analysis →