Go Ahead Eagles 2-0 Excelsior — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eredivisie, 26 Oct 2025

📅26/10/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
2.02
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
27%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.23
Over 2.5
59%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.53
No
41%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.38
2-3 Goals
37%
1.88
4-5 Goals
27%
2.84
6+ Goals
13%
8.03
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.84
1/2
6%
29.0
1/X
8%
12.75
X/1
20%
5.15
X/2
7%
7.05
X/X
8%
5.6
2/1 EV+ ✗
7%
21.8
2/2
14%
4.61
2/X
7%
13.25
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.8 — our 7% vs market 2.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
46%
+4.3pp
23%
Draw
25%
-2.0pp
27%
Away Win
30%
-2.4pp
41%
Under 2.5
41%
+0.4pp
59%
Over 2.5
59%
-0.4pp
59%
BTTS Yes
61%
-1.9pp
41%
BTTS No
39%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Go Ahead Eagles EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Excelsior EU Bookmakers 33%
+10% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -2%
1.80/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.49/1.89
+11% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -23%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
360 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 77%
29.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.6
20.0 Crosses 18.2
1.1 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Go Ahead Eagles
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Excelsior
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.11 xG 1.07
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
381 Passes 302
78% Pass Accuracy 74%
26 Box Touches 16
20 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
30.03.2024 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles 3-0 HT 1-0 Excelsior Excelsior HOL
16.12.2023 Excelsior Excelsior 1-1 HT 0-0 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles HOL
14.04.2023 Excelsior Excelsior 2-1 HT 0-0 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles HOL
29.10.2022 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles 3-1 HT 2-0 Excelsior Excelsior HOL
12.05.2021 Excelsior Excelsior 0-1 HT 0-0 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles HOL2
31.10.2020 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles 0-0 HT 0-0 Excelsior Excelsior HOL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Go Ahead Eagles
2-0
AWAY Excelsior
1.81 xG 0.57
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 10
372 Passes 365
81% Pass Accuracy 85%
25 Box Touches 18
22 Crosses 27
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Go Ahead Eagles vs Excelsior
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Go Ahead Eagles got the better of Excelsior 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Go Ahead Eagles as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Go Ahead Eagles had 52% of the ball to Excelsior's 48%, shots finished 12-11, expected goals 1.81 to 0.57.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Go Ahead Eagles had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Go Ahead Eagles and 0.67 for Excelsior.

What was the final score of Go Ahead Eagles vs Excelsior?

Go Ahead Eagles 2-0 Excelsior in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 26/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Go Ahead Eagles vs Excelsior?

Before kick-off our model rated a Go Ahead Eagles win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Go Ahead Eagles 50%, draw 23%, Excelsior 27%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Go Ahead Eagles) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Go Ahead Eagles) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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