Feyenoord 2-3 PSV Eindhoven — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eredivisie, 26 Oct 2025

📅26/10/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.25
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
41%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.59
Over 2.5
59%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
1.39
No
37%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
5.68
2-3 Goals
40%
2.03
4-5 Goals
27%
2.54
6+ Goals
12%
5.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.2
1/2
6%
24.0
1/X
8%
12.15
X/1
10%
5.92
X/2 EV+ ✗
20%
6.54
X/X
10%
6.1
2/1
6%
21.8
2/2
15%
3.72
2/X
5%
12.3
Value flag · X/2 at 6.54 — our 20% vs market 11.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
40%
-4.1pp
23%
Draw
24%
-1.5pp
41%
Away Win
36%
+5.6pp
41%
Under 2.5
35%
+6.1pp
59%
Over 2.5
65%
-6.1pp
63%
BTTS Yes
68%
-4.8pp
37%
BTTS No
32%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Feyenoord EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY PSV Eindhoven EU Bookmakers 39%
-12% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +6%
1.68/1.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.56/1.67
-20% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +33% / -26%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
355 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 357 · 79%
28.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.7
21.8 Crosses 19.0
2.7 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Feyenoord
1W-2D-3L
AWAY PSV Eindhoven
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.99 xG 2.01
41% Ball Possession 59%
12 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
252 Passes 393
75% Pass Accuracy 83%
22 Box Touches 30
12 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 3
11.05.2025 Feyenoord Feyenoord 2-3 HT 2-0 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven HOL
05.02.2025 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven 2-0 HT 1-0 Feyenoord Feyenoord HOK
22.12.2024 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven 3-0 HT 2-0 Feyenoord Feyenoord HOL
04.08.2024 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven 4-4 HT 1-2 Feyenoord Feyenoord HSK
03.03.2024 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven 2-2 HT 1-1 Feyenoord Feyenoord HOL
24.01.2024 Feyenoord Feyenoord 1-0 HT 1-0 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven HOK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Feyenoord
2-3
AWAY PSV Eindhoven
1.14 xG 1.16
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
330 Passes 384
78% Pass Accuracy 83%
29 Box Touches 20
15 Crosses 12
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Feyenoord vs PSV Eindhoven
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

PSV Eindhoven edged past Feyenoord 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 23% / 41% — and on the day PSV Eindhoven made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (63%) came in.

On the day, Feyenoord had 48% of the ball to PSV Eindhoven's 52%, shots finished 12-11, expected goals 1.14 to 1.16.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, PSV Eindhoven led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Feyenoord and 2.33 for PSV Eindhoven.

What was the final score of Feyenoord vs PSV Eindhoven?

Feyenoord 2-3 PSV Eindhoven in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 26/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Feyenoord vs PSV Eindhoven?

Before kick-off our model rated an PSV Eindhoven win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Feyenoord 36%, draw 23%, PSV Eindhoven 41%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (PSV Eindhoven), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (PSV Eindhoven) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
HOL More Netherlands - Eredivisie
26 Oct 2025
14:15 Twente vs Ajax Analysis →
18:45 AZ Alkmaar vs Utrecht Analysis →
22:00 Go Ahead Eagles vs Excelsior Analysis →