AZ Alkmaar vs Utrecht Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
AZ Alkmaar v Utrecht — Team-Based Signals
AZ Alkmaar vs Utrecht Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-1
AZ Alkmaar
HOL
1-2
HT 0-0
Utrecht
HOK
5-5
HT 3-3
Utrecht
HOL
AZ Alkmaar 4-1 Utrecht — Actual Match Statistics
AZ Alkmaar cruised past Utrecht 4-1. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had AZ Alkmaar as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (62%) came in.
On the day, AZ Alkmaar had 50% of the ball to Utrecht's 50%, shots finished 18-8, expected goals 3.59 to 0.99.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Utrecht led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for AZ Alkmaar and 2.17 for Utrecht.
What was the final score of AZ Alkmaar vs Utrecht?
AZ Alkmaar 4-1 Utrecht in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 26/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for AZ Alkmaar vs Utrecht?
Before kick-off our model rated a AZ Alkmaar win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split AZ Alkmaar 58%, draw 23%, Utrecht 19%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AZ Alkmaar), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.