Utrecht 0-0 AZ Alkmaar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eredivisie, 18 Jan 2025

Utrecht
0-0 HT 0-0
AZ Alkmaar
📅18/01/2025 · 🕒20:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Netherlands - Eredivisie – 2024/2025

Utrecht vs AZ Alkmaar Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.47
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
33%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
1.91
Over 2.5
56%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.66
No
46%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.34
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
25%
3.33
6+ Goals
11%
12.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
3.82
1/2
7%
27.5
1/X
6%
12.55
X/1
17%
5.86
X/2
14%
5.75
X/X
16%
4.62
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
28.0
2/2
12%
3.7
2/X
7%
12.5
Value flag · 2/1 at 28.0 — our 8% vs market 1.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
37%
+1.5pp
29%
Draw
27%
+2.1pp
33%
Away Win
36%
-3.7pp
44%
Under 2.5
48%
-4.1pp
56%
Over 2.5
52%
+4.1pp
54%
BTTS Yes
56%
-1.8pp
46%
BTTS No
44%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Utrecht v AZ Alkmaar — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Utrecht EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY AZ Alkmaar EU Bookmakers 40%
+7% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +20%
1.52/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.38/0.92
+38% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +36% / +6%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
349 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 410 · 80%
23.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.2
18.5 Crosses 13.7
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.2

Utrecht vs AZ Alkmaar Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Utrecht
2W-3D-1L
AWAY AZ Alkmaar
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.76 xG 1.70
46% Ball Possession 54%
15 Total Shots 18
6 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 7
340 Passes 417
79% Pass Accuracy 80%
24 Box Touches 30
21 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
29.09.2024 AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar 1-2 HT 1-1 Utrecht Utrecht HOL
19.05.2024 AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar 3-3 HT 3-0 Utrecht Utrecht HOL
03.12.2023 Utrecht Utrecht 1-1 HT 0-1 AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar HOL
07.02.2023 AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar 1-2 HT 0-0 Utrecht Utrecht HOK
28.01.2023 AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar 5-5 HT 3-3 Utrecht Utrecht HOL
09.10.2022 Utrecht Utrecht 1-2 HT 0-1 AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar HOL

Utrecht 0-0 AZ Alkmaar — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Utrecht
0-0
AWAY AZ Alkmaar
0.67 xG 1.14
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
307 Passes 465
78% Pass Accuracy 84%
18 Box Touches 23
20 Crosses 14
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Utrecht vs AZ Alkmaar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Utrecht and AZ Alkmaar fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match split (38% / 29% / 33%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Utrecht had 42% of the ball to AZ Alkmaar's 58%, shots finished 9-12, expected goals 0.67 to 1.14.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Utrecht had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Utrecht and 2.17 for AZ Alkmaar.

What was the final score of Utrecht vs AZ Alkmaar?

Utrecht 0-0 AZ Alkmaar in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 18/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Utrecht vs AZ Alkmaar?

Before kick-off our model rated a Utrecht win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Utrecht 38%, draw 29%, AZ Alkmaar 33%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Utrecht) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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