Willem II 1-1 Feyenoord — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eredivisie, 18 Jan 2025

Willem II
1-1 HT 0-1
Feyenoord
📅18/01/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✓
Netherlands - Eredivisie – 2024/2025

Willem II vs Feyenoord Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
5.91
Draw
23%
4.34
Away
52%
1.42
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.07
Over 2.5
50%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.9
No
50%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
23%
3.82
2-3 Goals
43%
1.81
4-5 Goals
22%
3.04
6+ Goals
12%
9.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.82 — our 23% vs market 20.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
11.85
1/2
8%
21.7
1/X
7%
20.5
X/1
12%
13.9
X/2
13%
3.81
X/X
10%
6.47
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
30%
1.7
2/X
6%
17.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
14%
+11.3pp
23%
Draw
20%
+3.4pp
51%
Away Win
66%
-14.7pp
50%
Under 2.5
44%
+5.7pp
50%
Over 2.5
56%
-5.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.2pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Willem II v Feyenoord — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Willem II EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Feyenoord EU Bookmakers 70%
+1% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +6%
0.79/1.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.99/0.98
-29% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -9%
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 7
288 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 428 · 81%
11.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 34.3
15.7 Crosses 20.3
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.5

Willem II vs Feyenoord Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Willem II
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Feyenoord
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
0.43 xG 2.45
36% Ball Possession 64%
4 Total Shots 21
2 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 7
250 Passes 512
73% Pass Accuracy 85%
9 Box Touches 31
13 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
10.08.2024 Feyenoord Feyenoord 1-1 HT 1-0 Willem II Willem II HOL
02.04.2022 Feyenoord Feyenoord 2-0 HT 0-0 Willem II Willem II HOL
15.08.2021 Willem II Willem II 0-4 HT 0-2 Feyenoord Feyenoord HOL
14.02.2021 Feyenoord Feyenoord 5-0 HT 1-0 Willem II Willem II HOL
04.10.2020 Willem II Willem II 1-4 HT 1-1 Feyenoord Feyenoord HOL
08.03.2020 Feyenoord Feyenoord 2-0 HT 2-0 Willem II Willem II HOL

Willem II 1-1 Feyenoord — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Willem II
1-1
AWAY Feyenoord
0.47 xG 0.95
32% Ball Possession 68%
9 Total Shots 15
1 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 10
222 Passes 538
78% Pass Accuracy 90%
18 Box Touches 35
12 Crosses 30
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Willem II vs Feyenoord
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Willem II and Feyenoord couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Feyenoord at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Willem II had 32% of the ball to Feyenoord's 68%, shots finished 9-15, expected goals 0.47 to 0.95.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Feyenoord led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Willem II and 3.00 for Feyenoord.

What was the final score of Willem II vs Feyenoord?

Willem II 1-1 Feyenoord in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 18/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Willem II vs Feyenoord?

Before kick-off our model rated an Feyenoord win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Willem II 25%, draw 23%, Feyenoord 51%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Feyenoord)
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