Go Ahead Eagles 2-1 Groningen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eredivisie, 18 Jan 2025

Go Ahead Eagles
2-1 HT 1-1
Groningen
📅18/01/2025 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✓ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Netherlands - Eredivisie – 2024/2025

Go Ahead Eagles vs Groningen Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.53
Draw
23%
4.08
Away
17%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.1
Over 2.5
58%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.81
No
46%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
3.87
2-3 Goals
38%
1.82
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
30%
3.01
6+ Goals
11%
9.59
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.01 — our 30% vs market 26.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1.87
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
15.7
X/1
14%
4.02
X/2
6%
11.6
X/X
11%
6.06
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
21.2
2/2
5%
9.33
2/X
6%
17.75
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.2 — our 10% vs market 2.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
61%
-0.8pp
23%
Draw
21%
+1.4pp
17%
Away Win
18%
-0.6pp
42%
Under 2.5
44%
-2.1pp
58%
Over 2.5
56%
+2.1pp
54%
BTTS Yes
51%
+2.8pp
46%
BTTS No
49%
-2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Go Ahead Eagles v Groningen — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Go Ahead Eagles EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Groningen EU Bookmakers 21%
+11% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -3%
2.46/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/1.75
+22% / +46% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / -6%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
342 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 76%
32.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.6
19.4 Crosses 14.1
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.6

Go Ahead Eagles vs Groningen Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Go Ahead Eagles
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Groningen
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.37 xG 1.20
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
324 Passes 300
77% Pass Accuracy 76%
24 Box Touches 20
20 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
29.09.2024 Groningen Groningen 0-1 HT 0-0 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles HOL
07.05.2023 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles 1-1 HT 1-1 Groningen Groningen HOL
21.08.2022 Groningen Groningen 1-0 HT 1-0 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles HOL
06.02.2022 Groningen Groningen 2-1 HT 1-0 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles HOL
21.11.2021 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles 0-1 HT 0-0 Groningen Groningen HOL
22.04.2017 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles 2-3 HT 0-1 Groningen Groningen HOL

Go Ahead Eagles 2-1 Groningen — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Go Ahead Eagles
2-1
AWAY Groningen
1.11 xG 1.12
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 20
3 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 7
391 Passes 352
83% Pass Accuracy 81%
15 Box Touches 21
11 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Go Ahead Eagles vs Groningen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Go Ahead Eagles squeezed past Groningen 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Go Ahead Eagles as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Go Ahead Eagles had 52% of the ball to Groningen's 48%, shots finished 14-20, expected goals 1.11 to 1.12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Groningen led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Go Ahead Eagles and 1.33 for Groningen.

What was the final score of Go Ahead Eagles vs Groningen?

Go Ahead Eagles 2-1 Groningen in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 18/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Go Ahead Eagles vs Groningen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Go Ahead Eagles win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Go Ahead Eagles 60%, draw 23%, Groningen 17%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Go Ahead Eagles), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Go Ahead Eagles) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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