PEC Zwolle 3-1 PSV Eindhoven — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eredivisie, 18 Jan 2025

PEC Zwolle
3-1 HT 2-1
PSV Eindhoven
📅18/01/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Netherlands - Eredivisie – 2024/2025

PEC Zwolle vs PSV Eindhoven Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
7.78
Draw
20%
5.71
Away
59%
1.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.96
Over 2.5
60%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.75
No
47%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
6.56
2-3 Goals
36%
2.14
4-5 Goals
28%
2.41
6+ Goals
16%
4.73
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
17.05
1/2
6%
19.2
1/X
5%
25.5
X/1
7%
21.55
X/2
23%
3.94
X/X
10%
10.1
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
30%
1.39
2/X
5%
22.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
10%
+11.2pp
20%
Draw
14%
+5.6pp
59%
Away Win
76%
-16.8pp
40%
Under 2.5
30%
+9.8pp
60%
Over 2.5
70%
-9.8pp
53%
BTTS Yes
53%
+0.3pp
47%
BTTS No
47%
-0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

PEC Zwolle v PSV Eindhoven — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME PEC Zwolle EU Bookmakers 13%
Head to Head
AWAY PSV Eindhoven EU Bookmakers 80%
-10% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -10%
1.02/2.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.47/0.86
-19% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / +10%
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
295 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 396 · 81%
16.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 37.0
13.8 Crosses 20.7
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.3

PEC Zwolle vs PSV Eindhoven Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME PEC Zwolle
0W-0D-6L
AWAY PSV Eindhoven
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 4.33
0.61 xG 2.57
39% Ball Possession 61%
8 Total Shots 22
4 Shots on Target 10
4 Corners 8
279 Passes 493
74% Pass Accuracy 86%
14 Box Touches 45
11 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 0
The Meetings
26.10.2024 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven 6-0 HT 2-0 PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle HOL
24.02.2024 PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle 1-7 HT 1-2 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven HOL
12.11.2023 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven 4-0 HT 2-0 PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle HOL
15.05.2022 PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle 1-2 HT 1-1 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven HOL
16.10.2021 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven 3-1 HT 0-1 PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle HOL
13.05.2021 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven 4-2 HT 3-0 PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle HOL

PEC Zwolle 3-1 PSV Eindhoven — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME PEC Zwolle
3-1
AWAY PSV Eindhoven
1.20 xG 3.21
30% Ball Possession 70%
7 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
187 Passes 536
69% Pass Accuracy 83%
19 Box Touches 57
10 Crosses 33
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH PEC Zwolle vs PSV Eindhoven
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

PEC Zwolle saw off PSV Eindhoven 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had PSV Eindhoven at 59% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (60%) came in.

On the day, PEC Zwolle had 30% of the ball to PSV Eindhoven's 70%, shots finished 7-18, expected goals 1.20 to 3.21 — the balance of chances actually favoured PSV Eindhoven.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, PSV Eindhoven led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for PEC Zwolle and 4.33 for PSV Eindhoven.

What was the final score of PEC Zwolle vs PSV Eindhoven?

PEC Zwolle 3-1 PSV Eindhoven in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 18/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for PEC Zwolle vs PSV Eindhoven?

Before kick-off our model rated an PSV Eindhoven win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split PEC Zwolle 21%, draw 20%, PSV Eindhoven 59%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (PSV Eindhoven) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (PSV Eindhoven) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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