Feyenoord 1-1 Willem II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eredivisie, 10 Aug 2024

📅10/08/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 4-0 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
75%
1.16
Draw
14%
7.13
Away
11%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
35%
2.96
Over 2.5
65%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.13
No
56%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
15%
6.95
2-3 Goals
38%
2.18
4-5 Goals
34%
2.46
6+ Goals
13%
4.88
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
45%
1.23
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
4%
34.5
X/1
22%
3.49
X/2
4%
34.5
X/X
4%
12.2
2/1
8%
24.45
2/2
3%
30.0
2/X
6%
34.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
75%
Home Win
82%
-6.5pp
14%
Draw
11%
+2.7pp
11%
Away Win
7%
+4.0pp
35%
Under 2.5
30%
+4.6pp
65%
Over 2.5
70%
-4.6pp
44%
BTTS Yes
43%
+1.7pp
56%
BTTS No
57%
-1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Feyenoord EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY Willem II EU Bookmakers 9%
-5% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +3%
2.57/0.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/2.17
-4% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / -11%
62% Ball Possession 38%
19 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 2
526 · 87% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 76%
45.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.3
23.5 Crosses 11.0
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Feyenoord
6W-0D-0L
AWAY Willem II
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.17
2.37 xG 0.62
59% Ball Possession 41%
18 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
475 Passes 287
84% Pass Accuracy 75%
28 Box Touches 11
17 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 1
02.04.2022 Feyenoord Feyenoord 2-0 HT 0-0 Willem II Willem II HOL
15.08.2021 Willem II Willem II 0-4 HT 0-2 Feyenoord Feyenoord HOL
14.02.2021 Feyenoord Feyenoord 5-0 HT 1-0 Willem II Willem II HOL
04.10.2020 Willem II Willem II 1-4 HT 1-1 Feyenoord Feyenoord HOL
08.03.2020 Feyenoord Feyenoord 2-0 HT 2-0 Willem II Willem II HOL
01.09.2019 Willem II Willem II 0-1 HT 0-0 Feyenoord Feyenoord HOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Feyenoord
1-1
AWAY Willem II
1.84 xG 0.16
71% Ball Possession 29%
22 Total Shots 2
7 Shots on Target 1
14 Corners 3
528 Passes 164
88% Pass Accuracy 67%
40 Box Touches 6
30 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Feyenoord vs Willem II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Feyenoord and Willem II shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Feyenoord at 75% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Feyenoord had 71% of the ball to Willem II's 29%, shots finished 22-2, expected goals 1.84 to 0.16.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Feyenoord had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Feyenoord and 0.17 for Willem II.

What was the final score of Feyenoord vs Willem II?

Feyenoord 1-1 Willem II in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 10/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Feyenoord vs Willem II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Feyenoord win the most likely single outcome at about 75%, with the full match-result split Feyenoord 75%, draw 14%, Willem II 11%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Feyenoord) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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