Almere City vs AZ Alkmaar Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Almere City v AZ Alkmaar — Team-Based Signals
Almere City vs AZ Alkmaar Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
4-1
HT 1-0
Almere City
HOL
0-4
HT 0-1
AZ Alkmaar
HOK
Almere City 0-1 AZ Alkmaar — Actual Match Statistics
AZ Alkmaar squeezed past Almere City 1-0 away from home.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had AZ Alkmaar as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Almere City had 43% of the ball to AZ Alkmaar's 57%, shots finished 8-9, expected goals 0.44 to 0.86.
Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, AZ Alkmaar led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Almere City and 2.67 for AZ Alkmaar.
What was the final score of Almere City vs AZ Alkmaar?
Almere City 0-1 AZ Alkmaar in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 10/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Almere City vs AZ Alkmaar?
Before kick-off our model rated an AZ Alkmaar win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Almere City 25%, draw 31%, AZ Alkmaar 44%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AZ Alkmaar) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.