Feyenoord 2-3 PSV Eindhoven — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eredivisie, 11 May 2025

📅11/05/2025 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.67
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
40%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.63
Over 2.5
62%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
64%
1.38
No
36%
2.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
6.24
2-3 Goals
36%
2.12
4-5 Goals
32%
2.49
6+ Goals
13%
5.17
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
4.09
1/2
7%
21.05
1/X
10%
12.2
X/1
13%
7.18
X/2
13%
5.83
X/X
7%
6.25
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
25.0
2/2
20%
2.96
2/X
8%
11.9
Value flag · 2/1 at 25.0 — our 8% vs market 2.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
34%
+1.5pp
25%
Draw
24%
+0.8pp
40%
Away Win
42%
-2.3pp
38%
Under 2.5
34%
+3.5pp
62%
Over 2.5
66%
-3.5pp
64%
BTTS Yes
68%
-4.2pp
36%
BTTS No
32%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Feyenoord EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY PSV Eindhoven EU Bookmakers 46%
+1% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +9%
1.70/1.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.56/1.16
+28% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / +7%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
312 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 389 · 81%
29.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.2
21.9 Crosses 17.1
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Feyenoord
1W-2D-3L
AWAY PSV Eindhoven
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.96 xG 1.88
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
298 Passes 372
77% Pass Accuracy 81%
24 Box Touches 24
14 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 3
05.02.2025 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven 2-0 HT 1-0 Feyenoord Feyenoord HOK
22.12.2024 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven 3-0 HT 2-0 Feyenoord Feyenoord HOL
04.08.2024 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven 4-4 HT 1-2 Feyenoord Feyenoord HSK
03.03.2024 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven 2-2 HT 1-1 Feyenoord Feyenoord HOL
24.01.2024 Feyenoord Feyenoord 1-0 HT 1-0 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven HOK
03.12.2023 Feyenoord Feyenoord 1-2 HT 0-0 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven HOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Feyenoord
2-3
AWAY PSV Eindhoven
1.54 xG 2.74
34% Ball Possession 66%
11 Total Shots 23
4 Shots on Target 9
1 Corners 12
170 Passes 390
71% Pass Accuracy 85%
12 Box Touches 58
5 Crosses 36
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Feyenoord vs PSV Eindhoven
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

PSV Eindhoven edged past Feyenoord 3-2 away from home. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 25% / 40% — and on the day PSV Eindhoven made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (64%) came in.

On the day, Feyenoord had 34% of the ball to PSV Eindhoven's 66%, shots finished 11-23, expected goals 1.54 to 2.74 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold PSV Eindhoven's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, PSV Eindhoven led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Feyenoord and 2.17 for PSV Eindhoven.

What was the final score of Feyenoord vs PSV Eindhoven?

Feyenoord 2-3 PSV Eindhoven in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 11/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Feyenoord vs PSV Eindhoven?

Before kick-off our model rated an PSV Eindhoven win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Feyenoord 35%, draw 25%, PSV Eindhoven 40%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (PSV Eindhoven), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (PSV Eindhoven) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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