Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Ajax v NEC Nijmegen — Team-Based Signals
Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-2
HT 0-0
Ajax
HOL
1-0
HT 0-0
NEC Nijmegen
HOL
1-1
HT 0-1
Ajax
HOL
0-1
HT 0-0
Ajax
HOL
Ajax 0-3 NEC Nijmegen — Actual Match Statistics
NEC Nijmegen cruised past Ajax 3-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
This one beat our numbers. Ajax carried 62% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Ajax had 65% of the ball to NEC Nijmegen's 35%, shots finished 22-9, expected goals 2.62 to 0.80 — on chances, Ajax could feel hard done by.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ajax had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Ajax and 0.83 for NEC Nijmegen.
What was the final score of Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen?
Ajax 0-3 NEC Nijmegen in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 11/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen?
Before kick-off our model rated a Ajax win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Ajax 62%, draw 22%, NEC Nijmegen 17%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Ajax) went the other way.