AZ Alkmaar vs Groningen Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
AZ Alkmaar v Groningen — Team-Based Signals
AZ Alkmaar vs Groningen Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 1-0
Groningen
HOL
1-4
HT 1-2
AZ Alkmaar
HOL
1-0
HT 0-0
Groningen
HOL
2-0
HT 1-0
AZ Alkmaar
HOL
AZ Alkmaar 3-0 Groningen — Actual Match Statistics
AZ Alkmaar swept aside Groningen 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had AZ Alkmaar as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (55%) landed while under 2.5 goals (56%) missed.
On the day, AZ Alkmaar had 50% of the ball to Groningen's 50%, shots finished 19-10, expected goals 3.55 to 0.57.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, AZ Alkmaar had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for AZ Alkmaar and 0.67 for Groningen.
What was the final score of AZ Alkmaar vs Groningen?
AZ Alkmaar 3-0 Groningen in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 11/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for AZ Alkmaar vs Groningen?
Before kick-off our model rated a AZ Alkmaar win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split AZ Alkmaar 53%, draw 27%, Groningen 20%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AZ Alkmaar), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.