AZ Alkmaar vs Groningen Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
AZ Alkmaar v Groningen — Team-Based Signals
AZ Alkmaar vs Groningen Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 1-0
Groningen
HOL
1-4
HT 1-2
AZ Alkmaar
HOL
1-0
HT 0-0
Groningen
HOL
2-0
HT 1-0
AZ Alkmaar
HOL
0-0
HT 0-0
AZ Alkmaar
HOL
AZ Alkmaar 3-1 Groningen — Actual Match Statistics
AZ Alkmaar got the better of Groningen 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had AZ Alkmaar as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, AZ Alkmaar had 56% of the ball to Groningen's 44%, shots finished 22-11, expected goals 3.00 to 1.56.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, AZ Alkmaar had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for AZ Alkmaar and 0.50 for Groningen.
What was the final score of AZ Alkmaar vs Groningen?
AZ Alkmaar 3-1 Groningen in the Netherlands - KNVB Cup on 18/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for AZ Alkmaar vs Groningen?
Before kick-off our model rated a AZ Alkmaar win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split AZ Alkmaar 47%, draw 26%, Groningen 27%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AZ Alkmaar), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.