Sparta Rotterdam 1-1 Go Ahead Eagles — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - KNVB Cup, 18 Dec 2024

Sparta Rotterdam
1-1 HT 0-1
Go Ahead Eagles
📅18/12/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✓
Netherlands - KNVB Cup – 2024/2025

Sparta Rotterdam vs Go Ahead Eagles Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.38
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
43%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.07
Over 2.5
46%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.6
No
48%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
4.03
2-3 Goals
37%
1.87
4-5 Goals
25%
3.16
6+ Goals
10%
10.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.03 — our 28% vs market 20.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
3.54
1/2
8%
27.0
1/X
8%
13.05
X/1
9%
5.61
X/2 EV+ ✗
20%
5.79
X/X
13%
5.16
2/1
7%
26.5
2/2
15%
3.7
2/X
6%
13.05
Value flag · X/2 at 5.79 — our 20% vs market 13.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
38%
-8.6pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.1pp
44%
Away Win
36%
+7.5pp
54%
Under 2.5
44%
+9.1pp
46%
Over 2.5
56%
-9.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
58%
-6.4pp
48%
BTTS No
42%
+6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Sparta Rotterdam v Go Ahead Eagles — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sparta Rotterdam EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Go Ahead Eagles EU Bookmakers 40%
-39% / -39% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -15%
0.77/2.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.78/1.02
-55% / -39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -45% / +58%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
347 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 74%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 29.0
– Crosses 28.6
– Yellow Cards 1.3

Sparta Rotterdam vs Go Ahead Eagles Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sparta Rotterdam
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Go Ahead Eagles
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.51 xG 0.81
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
390 Passes 325
80% Pass Accuracy 78%
25 Box Touches 22
24 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
15.09.2024 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam 1-2 HT 0-1 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles HOL
21.01.2024 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam 0-2 HT 0-1 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles HOL
22.10.2023 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles 0-0 HT 0-0 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam HOL
12.02.2023 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam 2-1 HT 1-0 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles HOL
27.08.2022 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles 0-1 HT 0-1 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam HOL
12.03.2022 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam 1-0 HT 0-0 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles HOL

Sparta Rotterdam 1-1 Go Ahead Eagles — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sparta Rotterdam
1-1
AWAY Go Ahead Eagles
1.04 xG 0.60
51% Ball Possession 49%
18 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 6
543 Passes 500
83% Pass Accuracy 80%
31 Box Touches 23
41 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Sparta Rotterdam vs Go Ahead Eagles
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sparta Rotterdam and Go Ahead Eagles couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Go Ahead Eagles at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Sparta Rotterdam had 51% of the ball to Go Ahead Eagles's 49%, shots finished 18-12, expected goals 1.04 to 0.60.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sparta Rotterdam had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Sparta Rotterdam and 0.83 for Go Ahead Eagles.

What was the final score of Sparta Rotterdam vs Go Ahead Eagles?

Sparta Rotterdam 1-1 Go Ahead Eagles in the Netherlands - KNVB Cup on 18/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sparta Rotterdam vs Go Ahead Eagles?

Before kick-off our model rated an Go Ahead Eagles win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Sparta Rotterdam 30%, draw 27%, Go Ahead Eagles 44%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Go Ahead Eagles) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Go Ahead Eagles) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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