ASWH 0-1 Heerenveen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - KNVB Cup, 18 Dec 2024

📅18/12/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
12.23
Draw
18%
6.26
Away
61%
1.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
Over 2.5
62%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.9
No
49%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
8%
X/2
13%
X/X
6%
2/1
6%
2/2
39%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
6%
+14.9pp
18%
Draw
13%
+4.9pp
61%
Away Win
81%
-19.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
49%
+2.5pp
49%
BTTS No
51%
-2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME ASWH EU Bookmakers 8%
Head to Head
AWAY Heerenveen EU Bookmakers 85%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / -46%
38% Ball Possession 62%
9 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 8
232 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 443 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 50.8
Crosses 26.1
Yellow Cards 1.7
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME ASWH
0-1
AWAY Heerenveen
0.76 xG 1.72
21% Ball Possession 79%
10 Total Shots 24
2 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 7
80 Passes 532
49% Pass Accuracy 86%
17 Box Touches 54
13 Crosses 32
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH ASWH vs Heerenveen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Heerenveen squeezed past ASWH 1-0 away from home.

As we said in the preview, our model had Heerenveen as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (62%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, ASWH had 21% of the ball to Heerenveen's 79%, shots finished 10-24, expected goals 0.76 to 1.72.

What was the final score of ASWH vs Heerenveen?

ASWH 0-1 Heerenveen in the Netherlands - KNVB Cup on 18/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for ASWH vs Heerenveen?

Before kick-off our model rated an Heerenveen win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split ASWH 21%, draw 18%, Heerenveen 61%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Heerenveen) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Heerenveen) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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