Twente 2-0 Utrecht — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eredivisie, 11 May 2025

Twente
2-0 HT 1-0
Utrecht
📅11/05/2025 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Netherlands - Eredivisie – 2024/2025

Twente vs Utrecht Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.82
Draw
22%
3.54
Away
33%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.18
Over 2.5
62%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.6
No
39%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
4.29
2-3 Goals
36%
1.88
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
30%
2.9
6+ Goals
14%
8.45
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 2.9 — our 30% vs market 28.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.43
1/2 EV+ ✗
8%
35.0
1/X
7%
12.85
X/1
18%
4.78
X/2
13%
8.59
X/X
7%
5.56
2/1
6%
21.6
2/2
13%
6.04
2/X
7%
13.9
Value flag · 1/2 at 35.0 — our 8% vs market 1.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
50%
-5.2pp
21%
Draw
24%
-3.1pp
33%
Away Win
25%
+8.3pp
38%
Under 2.5
42%
-4.4pp
62%
Over 2.5
58%
+4.4pp
61%
BTTS Yes
58%
+2.3pp
39%
BTTS No
42%
-2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Twente v Utrecht — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Twente EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Utrecht EU Bookmakers 29%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +11%
1.59/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.55
+5% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / -2%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
339 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 79%
27.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.1
19.9 Crosses 19.1
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.1

Twente vs Utrecht Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Twente
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Utrecht
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.26 xG 0.65
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
411 Passes 285
78% Pass Accuracy 72%
25 Box Touches 17
21 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
01.09.2024 Utrecht Utrecht 2-1 HT 1-1 Twente Twente HOL
18.02.2024 Twente Twente 0-1 HT 0-1 Utrecht Utrecht HOL
05.11.2023 Utrecht Utrecht 1-1 HT 1-1 Twente Twente HOL
16.04.2023 Utrecht Utrecht 1-0 HT 0-0 Twente Twente HOL
22.01.2023 Twente Twente 2-0 HT 1-0 Utrecht Utrecht HOL
22.12.2021 Utrecht Utrecht 1-1 HT 0-1 Twente Twente HOL

Twente 2-0 Utrecht — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Twente
2-0
AWAY Utrecht
1.16 xG 0.95
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 0
7 Corners 3
296 Passes 277
79% Pass Accuracy 77%
20 Box Touches 18
13 Crosses 20
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Twente vs Utrecht
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Twente saw off Utrecht 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Twente as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Twente had 50% of the ball to Utrecht's 50%, shots finished 11-8, expected goals 1.16 to 0.95.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Utrecht led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Twente and 1.00 for Utrecht.

What was the final score of Twente vs Utrecht?

Twente 2-0 Utrecht in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 11/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Twente vs Utrecht?

Before kick-off our model rated a Twente win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Twente 45%, draw 21%, Utrecht 33%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Twente) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Twente) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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