PEC Zwolle 1-1 Go Ahead Eagles — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eredivisie, 11 May 2025

PEC Zwolle
1-1 HT 0-0
Go Ahead Eagles
📅11/05/2025 · 🕒13:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Netherlands - Eredivisie – 2024/2025

PEC Zwolle vs Go Ahead Eagles Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.25
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
31%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.38
Over 2.5
55%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.46
No
42%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
5.05
2-3 Goals
40%
1.97
4-5 Goals
25%
2.68
6+ Goals
12%
6.71
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.25
1/2 EV+ ✗
8%
25.0
1/X
6%
12.3
X/1
17%
5.84
X/2
10%
6.55
X/X
15%
5.81
2/1
7%
22.9
2/2
12%
3.88
2/X
5%
12.5
Value flag · 1/2 at 25.0 — our 8% vs market 2.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
41%
+2.7pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.2pp
31%
Away Win
34%
-3.9pp
45%
Under 2.5
38%
+7.2pp
55%
Over 2.5
62%
-7.2pp
58%
BTTS Yes
64%
-6.1pp
42%
BTTS No
36%
+6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

PEC Zwolle v Go Ahead Eagles — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME PEC Zwolle EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Go Ahead Eagles EU Bookmakers 38%
+5% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +3%
1.61/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.43/1.27
+7% / +51% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +8%
51% Ball Possession 49%
16 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 6
336 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 79%
27.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.7
21.7 Crosses 16.7
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.6

PEC Zwolle vs Go Ahead Eagles Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME PEC Zwolle
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Go Ahead Eagles
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.27 xG 1.76
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
289 Passes 260
73% Pass Accuracy 73%
24 Box Touches 24
25 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
03.11.2024 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles 2-2 HT 0-2 PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle HOL
11.02.2024 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles 1-1 HT 0-0 PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle HOL
17.09.2023 PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle 1-1 HT 0-0 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles HOL
03.04.2022 PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle 0-1 HT 0-0 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles HOL
19.09.2021 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles 1-0 HT 0-0 PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle HOL
19.03.2017 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles 1-3 HT 1-1 PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle HOL

PEC Zwolle 1-1 Go Ahead Eagles — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME PEC Zwolle
1-1
AWAY Go Ahead Eagles
1.94 xG 1.04
51% Ball Possession 49%
19 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
392 Passes 366
86% Pass Accuracy 80%
30 Box Touches 21
22 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH PEC Zwolle vs Go Ahead Eagles
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

PEC Zwolle and Go Ahead Eagles couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was PEC Zwolle at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (58%) landed while over 2.5 goals (55%) missed.

On the day, PEC Zwolle had 51% of the ball to Go Ahead Eagles's 49%, shots finished 19-9, expected goals 1.94 to 1.04.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Go Ahead Eagles led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for PEC Zwolle and 1.17 for Go Ahead Eagles.

What was the final score of PEC Zwolle vs Go Ahead Eagles?

PEC Zwolle 1-1 Go Ahead Eagles in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 11/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for PEC Zwolle vs Go Ahead Eagles?

Before kick-off our model rated a PEC Zwolle win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split PEC Zwolle 43%, draw 26%, Go Ahead Eagles 31%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (PEC Zwolle), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (PEC Zwolle) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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