Utrecht vs AZ Alkmaar Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Utrecht v AZ Alkmaar — Team-Based Signals
Utrecht vs AZ Alkmaar Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-1
AZ Alkmaar
HOL
1-2
HT 0-0
Utrecht
HOK
Utrecht 2-0 AZ Alkmaar — Actual Match Statistics
Utrecht got the better of AZ Alkmaar 2-0.
We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 25% / 36% — and on the day Utrecht made the difference.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, Utrecht had 41% of the ball to AZ Alkmaar's 59%, shots finished 11-10, expected goals 1.19 to 0.89.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Utrecht had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Utrecht and 1.67 for AZ Alkmaar.
What was the final score of Utrecht vs AZ Alkmaar?
Utrecht 2-0 AZ Alkmaar in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 01/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Utrecht vs AZ Alkmaar?
Before kick-off our model rated a Utrecht win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Utrecht 40%, draw 25%, AZ Alkmaar 36%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Utrecht) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.