National Bank of Egypt 1-3 Smouha — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - Premier League, 1 Mar 2026

📅01/03/2026 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.18
Draw
32%
2.77
Away
28%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.36
Over 2.5
38%
2.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.44
No
55%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
1.8
2-3 Goals
40%
1.8
4-5 Goals
16%
6.78
6+ Goals
8%
34.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
13%
X/1
13%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
42%
-1.8pp
32%
Draw
32%
-0.4pp
28%
Away Win
25%
+2.3pp
62%
Under 2.5
70%
-8.1pp
38%
Over 2.5
30%
+8.1pp
45%
BTTS Yes
37%
+7.8pp
55%
BTTS No
63%
-7.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME National Bank of Egypt EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Smouha EU Bookmakers 29%
-6% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / -3%
1.16/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/1.03
-1% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +11%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
324 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 75%
19.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.4
19.0 Crosses 16.0
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME National Bank of Egypt
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Smouha
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.36 xG 1.24
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
254 Passes 294
71% Pass Accuracy 75%
17 Box Touches 18
16 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
16.02.2025 Smouha Smouha 1-4 HT 0-1 National Bank of Egypt National Bank of Egypt MSR
13.07.2024 National Bank of Egypt National Bank of Egypt 1-2 HT 1-1 Smouha Smouha MSR
13.02.2024 Smouha Smouha 1-1 HT 0-1 National Bank of Egypt National Bank of Egypt MSR
19.02.2023 National Bank of Egypt National Bank of Egypt 2-2 HT 1-0 Smouha Smouha MSR
25.10.2022 Smouha Smouha 1-1 HT 1-1 National Bank of Egypt National Bank of Egypt MSR
17.07.2022 Smouha Smouha 0-1 HT 0-1 National Bank of Egypt National Bank of Egypt MSR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME National Bank of Egypt
1-3
AWAY Smouha
1.06 xG 0.77
68% Ball Possession 32%
16 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
10 Corners 6
403 Passes 144
85% Pass Accuracy 64%
29 Box Touches 11
30 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH National Bank of Egypt vs Smouha
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Smouha saw off National Bank of Egypt 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 32% / 28% — and on the day Smouha made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, National Bank of Egypt had 68% of the ball to Smouha's 32%, shots finished 16-12, expected goals 1.06 to 0.77.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, National Bank of Egypt had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for National Bank of Egypt and 1.17 for Smouha.

What was the final score of National Bank of Egypt vs Smouha?

National Bank of Egypt 1-3 Smouha in the Egypt - Premier League on 01/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for National Bank of Egypt vs Smouha?

Before kick-off our model rated a National Bank of Egypt win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split National Bank of Egypt 40%, draw 32%, Smouha 28%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (National Bank of Egypt) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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