Sporting Braga II 1-0 Paredes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 1 Mar 2026

📅01/03/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.08
Draw
23%
3.11
Away
46%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.59
Over 2.5
48%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.99
No
51%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
12%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
31%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
29%
+2.1pp
23%
Draw
28%
-5.0pp
46%
Away Win
43%
+2.9pp
52%
Under 2.5
59%
-6.9pp
48%
Over 2.5
41%
+6.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
46%
+3.0pp
51%
BTTS No
54%
-3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sporting Braga II EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Paredes EU Bookmakers 48%
+19% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
1.20/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.78/0.71
+0% / +78% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / +62%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
275 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 358 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 3.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sporting Braga II
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Paredes
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
62% Ball Possession 38%
10 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
08.11.2025 Paredes Paredes 2-0 HT 2-0 Sporting Braga II Sporting Braga II POR3
08.08.2025 Sporting Braga II Sporting Braga II 1-0 HT 0-0 Paredes Paredes POR3
23.01.2023 Sporting Braga II Sporting Braga II 0-1 HT 0-1 Paredes Paredes POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sporting Braga II
1-0
AWAY Paredes
48% Ball Possession 52%
6 Total Shots 14
1 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Sporting Braga II vs Paredes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sporting Braga II edged past Paredes 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Paredes at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Sporting Braga II had 48% of the ball to Paredes's 52%, shots finished 6-14.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Paredes led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Sporting Braga II and 1.00 for Paredes.

What was the final score of Sporting Braga II vs Paredes?

Sporting Braga II 1-0 Paredes in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 01/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sporting Braga II vs Paredes?

Before kick-off our model rated an Paredes win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Sporting Braga II 31%, draw 23%, Paredes 46%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Paredes) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Paredes) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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