AD Marco 09 2-1 Sao Joao Ver — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 1 Mar 2026

📅01/03/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.0
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
26%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.62
Over 2.5
44%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.95
No
46%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
26%
X/2
12%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
46%
-0.9pp
29%
Draw
28%
+0.4pp
26%
Away Win
26%
+0.3pp
56%
Under 2.5
58%
-1.6pp
44%
Over 2.5
42%
+1.6pp
54%
BTTS Yes
47%
+6.5pp
46%
BTTS No
53%
-6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AD Marco 09 EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Sao Joao Ver EU Bookmakers 29%
+30% / +30% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
1.76/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.90
+35% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -35%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
326 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 329 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AD Marco 09
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Sao Joao Ver
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 3
21.12.2025 AD Marco 09 AD Marco 09 2-1 HT 1-0 Sao Joao Ver Sao Joao Ver POR3
24.09.2025 Sao Joao Ver Sao Joao Ver 0-0 HT 0-0 AD Marco 09 AD Marco 09 POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AD Marco 09
2-1
AWAY Sao Joao Ver
64% Ball Possession 36%
18 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH AD Marco 09 vs Sao Joao Ver
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AD Marco 09 squeezed past Sao Joao Ver 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had AD Marco 09 as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, AD Marco 09 had 64% of the ball to Sao Joao Ver's 36%, shots finished 18-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, AD Marco 09 had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for AD Marco 09 and 0.50 for Sao Joao Ver.

What was the final score of AD Marco 09 vs Sao Joao Ver?

AD Marco 09 2-1 Sao Joao Ver in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 01/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AD Marco 09 vs Sao Joao Ver?

Before kick-off our model rated a AD Marco 09 win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split AD Marco 09 45%, draw 29%, Sao Joao Ver 26%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AD Marco 09), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (AD Marco 09) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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