Fafe vs Sanjoanense Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Fafe v Sanjoanense — Team-Based Signals
Fafe vs Sanjoanense Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Fafe 3-2 Sanjoanense — Actual Match Statistics
Fafe edged past Sanjoanense 3-2. It was 1-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we said in the preview, our model had Fafe as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, Fafe had 65% of the ball to Sanjoanense's 35%, shots finished 16-7.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sanjoanense led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Fafe and 1.67 for Sanjoanense.
What was the final score of Fafe vs Sanjoanense?
Fafe 3-2 Sanjoanense in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 01/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Fafe vs Sanjoanense?
Before kick-off our model rated a Fafe win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Fafe 63%, draw 23%, Sanjoanense 14%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fafe), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.