Sanjoanense 1-1 Fafe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 9 Nov 2025

📅09/11/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.08
Draw
33%
3.18
Away
38%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.71
Over 2.5
43%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.82
No
46%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
11%
X/2
12%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
29%
+0.6pp
33%
Draw
28%
+4.9pp
38%
Away Win
43%
-5.4pp
57%
Under 2.5
55%
+2.8pp
43%
Over 2.5
45%
-2.8pp
54%
BTTS Yes
51%
+2.9pp
46%
BTTS No
49%
-2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sanjoanense EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Fafe EU Bookmakers 48%
+7% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -36% / -36%
1.45/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.42/1.32
+20% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -72% / -14%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
228 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 421 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sanjoanense
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Fafe
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 2
10.08.2025 Fafe Fafe 0-2 HT 0-1 Sanjoanense Sanjoanense POR3
30.11.2024 Sanjoanense Sanjoanense 0-1 HT 0-0 Fafe Fafe POR3
17.08.2024 Fafe Fafe 1-1 HT 0-0 Sanjoanense Sanjoanense POR3
30.03.2024 Sanjoanense Sanjoanense 4-2 HT 1-0 Fafe Fafe POR3
09.03.2024 Fafe Fafe 0-2 HT 0-0 Sanjoanense Sanjoanense POR3
10.12.2023 Fafe Fafe 1-1 HT 1-0 Sanjoanense Sanjoanense POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sanjoanense
1-1
AWAY Fafe
56% Ball Possession 44%
7 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Sanjoanense vs Fafe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sanjoanense and Fafe couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (29% / 33% / 38%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Sanjoanense had 56% of the ball to Fafe's 44%, shots finished 7-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sanjoanense had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Sanjoanense and 0.83 for Fafe.

What was the final score of Sanjoanense vs Fafe?

Sanjoanense 1-1 Fafe in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 09/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sanjoanense vs Fafe?

Before kick-off our model rated an Fafe win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Sanjoanense 29%, draw 33%, Fafe 38%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Fafe) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Fafe) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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