Sporting Covilha vs Caldas Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Sporting Covilha v Caldas — Team-Based Signals
Sporting Covilha vs Caldas Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Sporting Covilha 2-1 Caldas — Actual Match Statistics
Sporting Covilha edged past Caldas 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Caldas at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, Sporting Covilha had 48% of the ball to Caldas's 52%, shots finished 8-9.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sporting Covilha had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Sporting Covilha and 0.83 for Caldas.
What was the final score of Sporting Covilha vs Caldas?
Sporting Covilha 2-1 Caldas in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 09/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Sporting Covilha vs Caldas?
Before kick-off our model rated an Caldas win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Sporting Covilha 29%, draw 28%, Caldas 43%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Caldas), Under 2.5 went the other way.