Caldas vs Sporting Covilha Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Caldas v Sporting Covilha — Team-Based Signals
Caldas vs Sporting Covilha Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Caldas 2-1 Sporting Covilha — Actual Match Statistics
Caldas squeezed past Sporting Covilha 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Caldas as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.
On the day, Caldas had 55% of the ball to Sporting Covilha's 45%, shots finished 13-10.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sporting Covilha led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Caldas and 1.17 for Sporting Covilha.
What was the final score of Caldas vs Sporting Covilha?
Caldas 2-1 Sporting Covilha in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 09/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Caldas vs Sporting Covilha?
Before kick-off our model rated a Caldas win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Caldas 45%, draw 29%, Sporting Covilha 26%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Caldas), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.