Uniao Santarem 1-0 Lusitano Évora 1911 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 9 Aug 2025

📅09/08/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.46
Draw
31%
3.11
Away
40%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.6
Over 2.5
45%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.95
No
50%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
16%
X/X
18%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
37%
-8.1pp
31%
Draw
29%
+2.2pp
39%
Away Win
34%
+5.8pp
55%
Under 2.5
59%
-3.3pp
45%
Over 2.5
41%
+3.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
47%
+3.0pp
50%
BTTS No
53%
-3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Uniao Santarem EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Lusitano Évora 1911 EU Bookmakers 37%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-39% / +51% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
307 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 353 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Uniao Santarem
1-0
AWAY Lusitano Évora 1911
41% Ball Possession 59%
5 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 6
5 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Uniao Santarem vs Lusitano Évora 1911
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Uniao Santarem squeezed past Lusitano Évora 1911 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 29% / 31% / 39% — and on the day Uniao Santarem made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Uniao Santarem had 41% of the ball to Lusitano Évora 1911's 59%, shots finished 5-8.

What was the final score of Uniao Santarem vs Lusitano Évora 1911?

Uniao Santarem 1-0 Lusitano Évora 1911 in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 09/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Uniao Santarem vs Lusitano Évora 1911?

Before kick-off our model rated an Lusitano Évora 1911 win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Uniao Santarem 29%, draw 31%, Lusitano Évora 1911 39%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Lusitano Évora 1911) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lusitano Évora 1911) ✓ Under 2.5
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