Dezembro 2-1 Academica — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 9 Aug 2025

📅09/08/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.17
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
44%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.68
Over 2.5
50%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.88
No
44%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
11%
1/X
9%
X/1
9%
X/2
14%
X/X
7%
2/1
6%
2/2
19%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
28%
+1.1pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.2pp
44%
Away Win
44%
+0.1pp
50%
Under 2.5
56%
-5.3pp
50%
Over 2.5
44%
+5.3pp
56%
BTTS Yes
49%
+7.0pp
44%
BTTS No
51%
-7.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dezembro EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Academica EU Bookmakers 48%
+1% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +16%
1.09/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.68/1.00
-18% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / +11%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
266 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dezembro
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Academica
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
18.01.2025 Academica Academica 1-2 HT 0-2 Dezembro Dezembro POR3
05.10.2024 Dezembro Dezembro 1-2 HT 0-1 Academica Academica POR3
05.11.2023 Dezembro Dezembro 0-1 HT 0-1 Academica Academica POR3
08.08.2023 Academica Academica 1-1 HT 0-0 Dezembro Dezembro POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dezembro
2-1
AWAY Academica
47% Ball Possession 53%
7 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Dezembro vs Academica
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dezembro edged past Academica 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Academica at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Dezembro had 47% of the ball to Academica's 53%, shots finished 7-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Academica led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Dezembro and 1.25 for Academica.

What was the final score of Dezembro vs Academica?

Dezembro 2-1 Academica in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 09/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dezembro vs Academica?

Before kick-off our model rated an Academica win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Dezembro 29%, draw 27%, Academica 44%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Academica) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Academica) ✓ BTTS Yes
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