Mafra 1-1 CF Os Belenenses — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 9 Aug 2025

📅09/08/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.27
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
36%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.62
Over 2.5
48%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.95
No
50%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
13%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
40%
-2.3pp
26%
Draw
28%
-1.9pp
36%
Away Win
31%
+4.3pp
52%
Under 2.5
58%
-5.6pp
48%
Over 2.5
42%
+5.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
47%
+2.5pp
50%
BTTS No
53%
-2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mafra EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY CF Os Belenenses EU Bookmakers 34%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / -1%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +43% / -16%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
304 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mafra
0W-3D-1L
AWAY CF Os Belenenses
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
1.93 xG 1.15
62% Ball Possession 38%
16 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
425 Passes 227
83% Pass Accuracy 73%
22 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 3
02.02.2024 Mafra Mafra 1-1 HT 1-0 CF Os Belenenses POR2
26.08.2023 CF Os Belenenses 1-1 HT 1-0 Mafra Mafra POR2
13.05.2023 CF Os Belenenses 2-2 HT 0-1 Mafra Mafra POR2
07.01.2023 Mafra Mafra 0-1 HT 0-1 CF Os Belenenses POR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mafra
1-1
AWAY CF Os Belenenses
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Mafra vs CF Os Belenenses
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mafra and CF Os Belenenses shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (38% / 26% / 36%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Mafra had 54% of the ball to CF Os Belenenses's 46%, shots finished 11-10.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, CF Os Belenenses led the recent series with 1 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Mafra and 1.25 for CF Os Belenenses.

What was the final score of Mafra vs CF Os Belenenses?

Mafra 1-1 CF Os Belenenses in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 09/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mafra vs CF Os Belenenses?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mafra win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Mafra 38%, draw 26%, CF Os Belenenses 36%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Mafra) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Mafra) ✓ Under 2.5
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