Caldas vs Sporting Covilha Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Caldas v Sporting Covilha — Team-Based Signals
Caldas vs Sporting Covilha Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
4-3
HT 0-2
Caldas
POR3
Caldas and Sporting Covilha shared the points in a 1-1 draw.
Our pre-match lean was Caldas at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sporting Covilha led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Caldas and 1.67 for Sporting Covilha.
What was the final score of Caldas vs Sporting Covilha?
Caldas 1-1 Sporting Covilha in the Friendlies on 25/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Caldas vs Sporting Covilha?
Before kick-off our model rated a Caldas win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Caldas 45%, draw 24%, Sporting Covilha 31%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Caldas), BTTS No went the other way.