CF Os Belenenses 2-1 Mafra — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 9 Nov 2025

📅09/11/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.05
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
32%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.67
Over 2.5
43%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.9
No
52%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
45%
-4.6pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.3pp
32%
Away Win
27%
+4.9pp
57%
Under 2.5
56%
+0.6pp
43%
Over 2.5
44%
-0.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.5pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CF Os Belenenses EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Mafra EU Bookmakers 31%
-3% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -19% / -19%
1.03/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/2.47
-23% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -48%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
328 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CF Os Belenenses
1W-4D-0L
AWAY Mafra
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.15 xG 1.93
39% Ball Possession 61%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
227 Passes 425
73% Pass Accuracy 83%
13 Crosses 22
4 Yellow Cards 2
09.08.2025 Mafra Mafra 1-1 HT 0-1 CF Os Belenenses POR3
02.02.2024 Mafra Mafra 1-1 HT 1-0 CF Os Belenenses POR2
26.08.2023 CF Os Belenenses 1-1 HT 1-0 Mafra Mafra POR2
13.05.2023 CF Os Belenenses 2-2 HT 0-1 Mafra Mafra POR2
07.01.2023 Mafra Mafra 0-1 HT 0-1 CF Os Belenenses POR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CF Os Belenenses
2-1
AWAY Mafra
54% Ball Possession 46%
17 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH CF Os Belenenses vs Mafra
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CF Os Belenenses squeezed past Mafra 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (40% / 28% / 32%) promised a tight game; CF Os Belenenses found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, CF Os Belenenses had 54% of the ball to Mafra's 46%, shots finished 17-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, CF Os Belenenses had the better of it with 1 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for CF Os Belenenses and 1.00 for Mafra.

What was the final score of CF Os Belenenses vs Mafra?

CF Os Belenenses 2-1 Mafra in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 09/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CF Os Belenenses vs Mafra?

Before kick-off our model rated a CF Os Belenenses win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split CF Os Belenenses 40%, draw 28%, Mafra 32%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CF Os Belenenses) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (CF Os Belenenses) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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