Lusitano Évora 1911 1-0 Uniao Santarem — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 9 Nov 2025

📅09/11/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.0
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
26%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.6
Over 2.5
46%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.99
No
49%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
19%
X/2
14%
X/X
17%
2/1
5%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
46%
+0.8pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.4pp
26%
Away Win
26%
+0.6pp
54%
Under 2.5
59%
-4.5pp
46%
Over 2.5
41%
+4.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
46%
+4.4pp
49%
BTTS No
54%
-4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lusitano Évora 1911 EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Uniao Santarem EU Bookmakers 29%
+41% / +41% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +12%
3.49/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/0.92
+150% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / +43%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
307 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 256 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lusitano Évora 1911
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Uniao Santarem
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
59% Ball Possession 41%
8 Total Shots 5
2 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 5
09.08.2025 Uniao Santarem Uniao Santarem 1-0 HT 0-0 Lusitano Évora 1911 Lusitano Évora 1911 POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lusitano Évora 1911
1-0
AWAY Uniao Santarem
61% Ball Possession 39%
14 Total Shots 2
7 Shots on Target 0
5 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Lusitano Évora 1911 vs Uniao Santarem
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lusitano Évora 1911 nicked a narrow win over Uniao Santarem 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Lusitano Évora 1911 as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Lusitano Évora 1911 had 61% of the ball to Uniao Santarem's 39%, shots finished 14-2.

What was the final score of Lusitano Évora 1911 vs Uniao Santarem?

Lusitano Évora 1911 1-0 Uniao Santarem in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 09/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lusitano Évora 1911 vs Uniao Santarem?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lusitano Évora 1911 win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Lusitano Évora 1911 47%, draw 27%, Uniao Santarem 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lusitano Évora 1911), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Lusitano Évora 1911) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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