CF Os Belenenses 1-2 Amarante — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 1 Mar 2026

📅01/03/2026 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.75
Draw
21%
3.28
Away
27%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.56
Over 2.5
50%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
2.16
No
47%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
3%
1/X
8%
X/1
25%
X/2
13%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
53%
-1.1pp
22%
Draw
27%
-5.5pp
27%
Away Win
20%
+6.6pp
50%
Under 2.5
60%
-10.5pp
50%
Over 2.5
40%
+10.5pp
53%
BTTS Yes
42%
+11.4pp
47%
BTTS No
58%
-11.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CF Os Belenenses EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Amarante EU Bookmakers 23%
-2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -5%
1.52/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.18
+1% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +18%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
317 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CF Os Belenenses
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Amarante
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
46% Ball Possession 55%
15 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
10.05.2025 Amarante Amarante 1-4 HT 0-2 CF Os Belenenses POR3
15.03.2025 CF Os Belenenses 0-0 HT 0-0 Amarante Amarante POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CF Os Belenenses
1-2
AWAY Amarante
65% Ball Possession 35%
17 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH CF Os Belenenses vs Amarante
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Amarante squeezed past CF Os Belenenses 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was CF Os Belenenses at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, CF Os Belenenses had 65% of the ball to Amarante's 35%, shots finished 17-8.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, CF Os Belenenses had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for CF Os Belenenses and 0.50 for Amarante.

What was the final score of CF Os Belenenses vs Amarante?

CF Os Belenenses 1-2 Amarante in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 01/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CF Os Belenenses vs Amarante?

Before kick-off our model rated a CF Os Belenenses win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split CF Os Belenenses 52%, draw 22%, Amarante 27%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (CF Os Belenenses) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (CF Os Belenenses) ✓ BTTS Yes
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