Amarante 1-4 CF Os Belenenses — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 10 May 2025

Amarante
1-4 HT 0-2
CF Os Belenenses
📅10/05/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Portugal - 3rd Division – 2024/2025

Amarante vs CF Os Belenenses Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.94
Draw
34%
3.18
Away
36%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.71
Over 2.5
39%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.85
No
54%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
12%
X/X
18%
2/1
5%
2/2
18%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
30%
-0.3pp
34%
Draw
28%
+6.6pp
36%
Away Win
42%
-6.2pp
61%
Under 2.5
55%
+6.1pp
39%
Over 2.5
45%
-6.1pp
46%
BTTS Yes
50%
-4.2pp
54%
BTTS No
50%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Amarante v CF Os Belenenses — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Amarante EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY CF Os Belenenses EU Bookmakers 46%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -25% / -25%
0.85/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.69/1.04
-36% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -53% / +7%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
263 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 346 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.7 Yellow Cards 3.3

Amarante vs CF Os Belenenses Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Amarante
0W-1D-0L
AWAY CF Os Belenenses
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
45% Ball Possession 55%
4 Total Shots 21
3 Shots on Target 8
0 Corners 13
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
15.03.2025 CF Os Belenenses 0-0 HT 0-0 Amarante Amarante POR3

Amarante 1-4 CF Os Belenenses — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Amarante
1-4
AWAY CF Os Belenenses
64% Ball Possession 36%
9 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 3
POST-MATCH Amarante vs CF Os Belenenses
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CF Os Belenenses swept aside Amarante 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (30% / 34% / 36%) promised a tight game; CF Os Belenenses found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Amarante had 64% of the ball to CF Os Belenenses's 36%, shots finished 9-9.

What was the final score of Amarante vs CF Os Belenenses?

Amarante 1-4 CF Os Belenenses in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 10/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Amarante vs CF Os Belenenses?

Before kick-off our model rated an CF Os Belenenses win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Amarante 30%, draw 34%, CF Os Belenenses 36%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CF Os Belenenses) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (CF Os Belenenses) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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